GOLDEN GLOBES FILM PREDICTIONS: WHO WILL WIN, WHO SHOULD WIN

The Hollywood Reporter chief film critic David Rooney makes his case for 'Nomadland' and 'Hamilton,' while awards analyst Scott Feinberg shares his predictions for films from 'The Trial of the Chicago 7' to the 'Borat' sequel.

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The Hollywood Reporter chief film critic David Rooney makes his case for ‘Nomadland’ and ‘Hamilton,’ while awards analyst Scott Feinberg shares his predictions for films from ‘The Trial of the Chicago 7’ to the ‘Borat’ sequel.

Best Picture, Drama

THE TRIAL OF THE CHICAGO 7 Still 9 - Publicity H 2020
Courtesy of Netflix
From left: Sacha Baron Cohen and Jeremy Strong in ‘The Trial of the Chicago 7’

SHOULD WIN: Nomadland

Chloé Zhao cements her place as one of the great poets of the new American West with this haunting study of a disenfranchised transient, played with resilience by Frances McDormand.

WILL WIN: The Trial of the Chicago 7

Mank has the most noms, but that hasn’t meant anything in recent years. This race often reflects Oscar buzz of the moment, which means Nomadland or The Trial of the Chicago 7.

Best Picture, Musical or Comedy

Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
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SHOULD WIN: Hamilton

In a weak category this year, it has to be Thomas Kail’s performance-capture recording of the Broadway juggernaut that bottles the thrill of live theater with rare skill.

WILL WIN: Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

Music (poorly reviewed) and Hamilton (not really a movie) are controversial. And Meryl Streep’s snub is a bad sign for The PromPalm Springs and Borat Subsequent Moviefilm are both “LOL” comedies, but one has more to say.

Best Actress, Drama

PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN
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SHOULD WIN: Carey Mulligan 

Carey Mulligan delivers the most surprising turn, dismantling her subdued persona to create a unique character bristling with a barely suppressed howl of indignation and a thirst for justice at any cost.

WILL WIN: Carey Mulligan 

Promising Young Woman, up for four prizes, is going to win somewhere, and here seems as likely as anywhere, since Frances McDormand and Viola Davis won recently, whereas Carey Mulligan never has.

Best Actor, Drama

Anthony Hopkins The Father
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SHOULD WIN: Chadwick Boseman 

Riz Ahmed is an exciting actor who will have many opportunities. Chadwick Boseman, tragically, will not. In Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom, his wrenching final performance, he leaves nothing behind.

WILL WIN: Anthony Hopkins

Most predict Ma Rainey‘s late Chadwick Boseman over The Father‘s Anthony Hopkins, but only Hopkins’ film is up for best pic, plus the HFPA adores him (eight noms going back 42 years!).

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